Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 5.448872 6.005999 6.599772 7.280458 8.040143 8.862962 9.823045
2025-12-14 4.437217 5.170700 6.001926 7.016598 8.225724 9.625261 11.374881
2025-12-21 3.768780 4.609947 5.615919 6.914323 8.555388 10.573170 13.261390
2025-12-28 3.351015 4.283375 5.454541 7.046008 9.171087 11.937305 15.853828
2026-01-04 3.004269 3.995682 5.297734 7.152482 9.758289 13.336068 18.702034
2026-01-11 2.686552 3.702720 5.091953 7.157659 10.198606 14.585600 21.530810
2026-01-18 2.397925 3.412461 4.850642 7.074319 10.491235 15.651836 24.246219
2026-01-25 2.149749 3.149583 4.614540 6.962426 10.716393 16.634135 26.972005
2026-02-01 1.938957 2.917472 4.395420 6.844207 10.907298 17.575522 29.765235
2026-02-08 1.757969 2.710851 4.191054 6.720605 11.065881 18.473342 32.612240
2026-02-15 1.617360 2.552646 4.044776 6.671204 11.336033 19.586391 36.013386
2026-02-22 1.528840 2.468968 4.008988 6.800805 11.928303 21.340653 40.905691
2026-03-01 1.413086 2.331396 3.873312 6.747155 12.195325 22.557222 45.006085
2026-03-08 1.292432 2.174371 3.689081 6.585151 12.238897 23.352703 48.384524
2026-03-15 1.203955 2.065100 3.577712 6.544430 12.509346 24.632856 53.041949
2026-03-22 1.153362 2.018393 3.573735 6.706576 13.203627 26.883186 60.321313
2026-03-29 1.102312 1.966000 3.553716 6.834020 13.842001 29.108927 67.993726
2026-04-05 1.042687 1.892253 3.486109 6.857192 14.260398 30.909877 74.989671
2026-04-12 0.977952 1.803231 3.380709 6.790040 14.470957 32.265100 81.119521
2026-04-19 0.915655 1.713785 3.266432 6.691386 14.597061 33.438360 87.009338
2026-04-26 0.857960 1.628788 3.153665 6.583795 14.688313 34.539787 92.937349
2026-05-03 0.804527 1.548166 3.042980 6.469100 14.747959 35.570836 98.890633
2026-05-10 0.762074 1.486612 2.966740 6.424247 14.972062 37.061930 106.567233